Iran looking East. An alternative to the EU? Perteghella A. (Cur.)   -  Ledizioni, 2019  -  Ispi

In February 2018, anticipating the US withdrawal from the JCPOA, Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei declared a policy of "preferring East over West", thus paving the way for deeper cooperation with Asian powers such as China, Russia, and India. Differently from the "Look East" policy promoted during the presidency of Ahmadinejad (2005-2013), the current Iranian strategy is not only functional to escape the US-led isolation, but it rather seems devoted to the consolidation of a block of power which can commit to security and economic schemes in alternative to the Western-dominated ones. This ISPI report aims to answer few crucial questions: Which are the major initiatives promoted within Iran's "Look East 2.0" strategy? To what extent will Tehran succeed in creating a solid Eastern block? What will be the influence of the wider geopolitical context? And finally, what role is left for the EU? ISPI. L'ISPI è un think tank indipendente dedicato allo studio delle dinamiche politiche ed economiche internazionali fondato nel 1934. È l'unico istituto italiano - e tra i pochissimi in Europa - ad affiancare all'attività di ricerca un significativo impegno nella formazione, nella convegnistica e nell'analisi dei rischi e delle opportunità a livello mondiale per le imprese e le istituzioni. L'ISPI privilegia un approccio interdisciplinare e "policy-oriented" reso possibile da un team di ricerca di oltre 50 analisti e può inoltre contare su un network internazionale di 70 università, think tank e centri di ricerca. Nella classifica redatta dall'Università di Pennsylvania, l'IS

Post-vote Iran: giving engagement a chance Magri P. (Cur.)  Perteghella A. (Cur.)   -  Ledizioni, 2018  -  Ispi

2017 is a crucial year for Iran. In January, while the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) entered the second year of implementation, in Washington the Trump Administration took office, with the promise to "renegotiate a disastrous deal". In May, in Tehran, the incumbent President Hassan Rouhani won re-election by a wide margin. This Report intends to trace what lies ahead for Iran after the May 2017 Rouhani's re-election. The analysis builds upon the assumption that Iran does not act in a vacuum: the US, as well as the EU actions, will inevitably help define the future trajectory of the country. A trajectory which is set domestically also by the generational transition Tehran is going through. The inter-factional struggle affecting Iran since the early years of the Revolution is now revived by what is actually at stake: the very future of the Islamic Republic.